Success? (Joe Raedle/Getty Images).
In 1997 Francis Fukuyama was among the neo-conservative signatories to the Project for the New American Century that called for a massive military buildup and a restoration of American hegemony through hard (military) power if necessary, beginning in the Middle East. Signatories included William Bennett, Jeb Bush, Dick Cheney, William Kristol, I. Lewis "Scooter" Libby, Norman Podhoretz, Dan Quayle, Donald Rumsfeld and Paul Wolfowitz--what you might call the new century's Knights Templar, with missile envy.
The Project wanted an America ready "to challenge regimes hostile to our interests and values" and unapologetic about projecting "America's unique role in preserving and extending an international order friendly to our security, our prosperity, and our principles." The culmination of those principles was the pre-emptive war and occupation of Iraq. By then, Fukuyama had already quit the cause as incarnated in the Bush administration's mixture of messianic megalomania, hubris and plain recklessness. His drift away from the reactionary right hasn't stopped. Nor has he bought into the reengineering of John McCain as anything other than a transplanted cold warrior. In a Wall Street Journal column today, Fukuyama endorses Barack Obama, based primarily on the two candidates' understanding of the messy place Iraq is in:
Republican presidential candidate John McCain says he was right in supporting the surge and that Democrat Barack Obama was wrong in opposing it. On this tactical issue I grant that Sen. McCain was right. But Sen. Obama was right on the much more important strategic question of whether the war itself was a prudent policy, and here Mr. McCain remains as wrong as ever. Mr. Obama does not share McCain's instinctive reliance on hard power as the primary instrument for dealing with messy questions of terrorism and proliferation in the broader Middle East. This is one reason I support him for president.Fukuyama makes another salient point that exposes the recklessness of the Bush doctrine he once endorsed: In Russia's invasion of Georgia--an illegal, pre-emptive strike predicated on false pretenses (of alleged genocide), "who set the most recent precedent for a big power intervening to change a regime it didn't like, without the sanction of the U.N. Security Council or any other legitimating international body?"
Fukuyama doesn't pretend to make a parallel between the democratically elected president of Georgia and the tyrannical regime of Saddam Hussein. Nor would any such equivalency be relevant. The nature of the regimes being attacked aside, the manner of the invaders is identical: contempt for international law, indifference to fact, disproportion in execution. The United States, in other words, is "scarcely in a position today to rally opposition to Russia on the basis of international law and norms constraining the strong from using force against the weak," Fukuyama writes.
And in Iraq? The stability is a smokescreen for still-ruinous consequences of the invasion, no matter how many cell phones are working or oil barrels are flowing today: The invasion provoked Iran to accelerate their nuclear programs while enshrining Iranian power in the region, recruitment into terrorist cells is all the rage, Hezbollah in lebanon and Hamas in Gaza are piling up fans and missiles, and though Fukuyama doesn't mention them, Afghanistan is a failed state continuing its spiral to mayhem while Pakistan may not be far behind. That's without mentioning the 30,000 dead and wounded Americans, the hundreds of thousands of dead and wounded Iraqis, and the millions of Iraqi and Afghan refugees.
Iraq a success, as McCain would have you believe? Only if your attention span calibrates to the nanobytes of a 30-second GOP infomercial.
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