
Yo-Yo President: Syria's Bashar el Assad. (Salah Malkawi/ Getty Images)
Journalists love to call tyrants "an enigma." It's a euphemism that suggests the journalists are either clueless or not permitted in print, under the constraints of objectivity, to call repressive tyrants by name, and describe their fumblings accurately as such. Bashar el Assad has been in power since 2000, succeeding his father, who'd been in power almost 30 years by the time he died that year. Like his father, Bashar el Assad is as illegitimate a ruler as they come: unelected, and in power only because he uses his police state's machinery, and its bullets when necessary, without reserve. He calls it "stability" (in a recent Wall Street Journal interview) that reflects well on Syria, in the midst of other countries' revolutions. The stability didn't last very long. Within weeks protesters were taking to Syria's streets. And Bashar was mowing them down or arresting them.
He's not an enigma. He is a flirt: he talks reform, then steps back. He talks negotiations with Israel, then steps back. He talks liberalization of the economy, then steps back. He is an autocratic commoner: doing whatever he can to stay in power while pretending to have a grander strategy, which, so far as Syria is concerned, amonts to little more than keeping its opponents off balance by playing the Iran-Hamas-Hezbollah axis to its advantage.
Here's a fresh new profile of Bashar el Assad.
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Thanks Pierre, I would add that Bashar is not the real boss. He does not call the shots. In general terms I can say the following:The Damascus Regime seems unaware of the Freedom Tsunami which has rocked the region. We have seen two long term dictators toppled. President Hosni Mubarak of Egypt and Zein El Alabidine Ben Ali of Tunisia have departed the political scene in recent weeks. The Libyan tyrant Muammar Gaddafi is fighting for his political life and likewise the Yemeni president Ali Abdullah Saleh is clinging to power by the skin of his teeth. It is a matter of time before Gaddafi and Saleh disappear into the Middle Eastern sunset.
Lately the Syrian apparatchiks have been telling the world “Syria is not Egypt, Syria is not Tunisia.” Next they will be saying Syria is not Libya and it is not Yemen. Fair enough but such epithets will lead to nowhere.
The Syrian regime has not taken any steps to reform and change. It is not long before the cracks will start to appear in the volatile political structure of the regime.
Most observers believe that stability and slogans are not enough to stop the popular revolution. Bashar has wasted 11 years and his time is running out.