The situation in the Middle East has rarely been as fluid as today, the events seldom as fascinating to watch, as well as challenging to comprehend with the barrage of news reports we receive from the region every day.
Since early 2011, heads of state of Tunisia, Egypt and Libya have been driven to exile, put behind bars, or lynched by a mob. Yemeni leader was forced to step aside, while the Syrian regime is fighting a desperate battle for bare survival. Other autocrats dread what the future might bring and, of course, foreign powers are closely watching the events.
Who’s in power in the Middle East, what kind of political systems are emerging, and what are the latest developments?
- Obama’s Top Five Challenges in the Middle East
- Russia's Middle East Influence
- Arab Spring Uprisings in the Middle East
- Sunni - Shiite Tension in the Middle East
- Who are the Islamists?
Weekly Reading List: Latest News in the Middle East November 4 - 10 2013
Country Index:
Bahrain
:max_bytes(150000):strip_icc():format(webp)/Bahrain-protest-0211-56a617935f9b58b7d0dfdd82.jpg)
Current Leader: King Hamad bin Isa bin Salman Al Khalifa
Political System: Monarchical rule, limited role for a semi-elected parliament
Current Situation: Civil unrest
Further Details: Mass pro-democracy protests erupted in February 2011, prompting a government crackdown aided by troops from Saudi Arabia. But unrest in the Middle East continues, as a restless Shiite majority confronts a state dominated by the Sunni minority. The ruling family has yet to offer any significant political concessions.
Egypt
:max_bytes(150000):strip_icc():format(webp)/court-ruling-14-06-56a617923df78cf7728b4a9f.jpg)
Current Leader: Interim President Adly Mansour / Army Chief Mohammad Hussein Tantawi
Political System: Political System: Interim authorities, elections due early 2014
Current Situation: Transition from autocratic rule
Further Details: Egypt remains locked in a protracted process of political transition after the resignation of the long-serving leader Hosni Mubarak in February 2011, with most of the real political power still in the hands of the military. Mass anti-government protests in July 2013 forced the army to remove Egypt’s first democratically elected president, Mohammed Morsi, amid deep polarization between the Islamists and secular groups.
Iraq
:max_bytes(150000):strip_icc():format(webp)/nuri-al-maliki-56a6170d3df78cf7728b45df.jpg)
Current Leader: Prime Minister Nuri al-Maliki
Political System: Parliamentary democracy
Current Situation: High risk of political and religious violence
Further Details: Iraq’s Shiite majority dominates the governing coalition, placing growing strain on the power-sharing agreement with Sunnis and Kurds. Al Qaeda is using the Sunni resentment of the government to mobilize support for its escalating campaign of violence.
Iran
Current Leader: Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei / President Hassan Rouhani
Political System: Islamic republic
Current Situation: Regime infighting / Tensions with the West
Further Details: Iran’s oil-dependent economy is under severe strain due to sanctions imposed by the West over the country’s nuclear program. Meanwhile, supporters of former president Mahmoud Ahmadinejad vie for power with factions backed by Ayatollah Khamenei, and reformists who are placing their hopes in President Hassan Rouhani.
Israel
:max_bytes(150000):strip_icc():format(webp)/netanyahu-iran-bomb-57c4ad935f9b5855e5e8aa74.jpg)
Current Leader: Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu
Political System: Parliamentary democracy
Current Situation: Political stability / Tensions with Iran
Further Details: Netanyahu’s right-wing Likud Party came on top of the early elections held in January 2013, but faces a hard time keeping its diverse government coalition together. Prospects for a breakthrough in peace negotiations with Palestinians are close to zero, and military action against Iran is possible in Spring 2013.
Lebanon
:max_bytes(150000):strip_icc():format(webp)/hezbollah-rally-56a617925f9b58b7d0dfdd79.jpg)
Current Leader: President Michel Suleiman / Prime Minister Najib Mikati
Political System: Parliamentary democracy
Current Situation: High risk of political and religious violence
Further Details: Lebanon’s governing coalition backed by the Shiite militia Hezbollah has close links to the Syrian regime, while the opposition is sympathetic to Syrian rebels who have established a rear base in northern Lebanon. Clashes erupted between rival Lebanese groups in the north, capital remains calm but tense.
Libya
:max_bytes(150000):strip_icc():format(webp)/libya-rebels-56a617955f9b58b7d0dfdd9d.jpg)
Current Leader: Prime Minister Ali Zeidan
Political System: Interim governing body
Current Situation: Transition from autocratic rule
Further Details: July 2012 parliamentary elections were won by a secular political alliance. However, large parts of Libya are controlled by militias, former rebels that brought down the regime of Col. Muammar al-Qaddafi. Frequent clashes between rival militias threaten to derail the political process.
Qatar
Current Leader: Emir Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad al Thani
Political System: Absolutist monarchy
Current Situation: Succesion of power to a new generation of royals
Further Details: Sheikh Hamad bin Khalifa al Thani abdicated from the throne in June 2013 after 18 years in power. The accession of Hamad’s son, Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad al Thani, was aimed at invigorating the state with a new generation of royals and technocrats, but without affecting major policy shifts.
Saudi Arabia
:max_bytes(150000):strip_icc():format(webp)/salman-56a617943df78cf7728b4ab1.jpg)
Current Leader: King Abdullah bin Abdul Aziz Al-Saud
Political System: Absolutist monarchy
Current Situation: Royal family rejects reforms
Further Details: Saudi Arabia remains stable, with anti-government protests limited to areas populated with the Shiite minority. However, growing uncertainty over the succession of power from the current monarch raises the possibility of tension within the royal family.
Syria
:max_bytes(150000):strip_icc():format(webp)/assad-56a617943df78cf7728b4aab.jpg)
Current Leader: President Bashar al-Assad
Political System: Family-rule autocracy dominated by minority Alawite sect
Current Situation: Civil war
Further Details: After a year and a half of unrest in Syria, conflict between the regime and the opposition has escalated to full-scale civil war. Fighting has reached the capital and key members of the government have been killed or have defected.
Tunisia
:max_bytes(150000):strip_icc():format(webp)/tunisia-protest-Jan-2011-57c4ada95f9b5855e5e8ab9d.jpg)
Current Leader: Prime Minister Ali Laarayedh
Political System: Parliamentary democracy
Current Situation: Transition from autocratic rule
Further Details: The birthplace of the Arab Spring is now ruled by a coalition of Islamist and secular parties. A heated debate is underway on the role that Islam should be accorded in the new constitution, with occasional street scuffles between ultra-conservative Salafis and secular activists.
Turkey
Current Leader: Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan
Political System: Parliamentary democracy
Current Situation: Stable democracy
Further Details: Ruled by moderate Islamists since 2002, Turkey has seen its economy and regional influence grow in recent years. The government is battling a Kurdish separatist insurgency at home, while supporting the rebels in neighboring Syria.
Yemen
:max_bytes(150000):strip_icc():format(webp)/ali-abdullah-al-saleh-56a617955f9b58b7d0dfdda3.jpg)
Current Leader: Interim President Abd al-Rab Mansur al-Hadi
Political System: Autocracy
Current Situation: Transition / Armed insurgency
Further Details: Long-serving leader Ali Abdullah Saleh resigned in November 2011 under a Saudi-brokered transition deal, after nine months of protests. Interim authorities are battling Al Qaeda-linked militants and a growing separatist movement in the south, with moot prospects for a transition to a stable democratic government.